Research outputs
2025
Central nervous system–derived inflammasome cytokines drive neuroglial injury and cerebral oedema in viral encephalitis, despite corticosteroid therapy
Competing societal objectives in epidemic mitigation: a modeling study of COVID-19 in the Philippines
Johnson, R., Castillo, R. C. J. T., Lubangco, C., Teng, T. R., Tolentino, M., Morgenstern, C., . . . Hauck, K. (2025). Competing societal objectives in epidemic mitigation: a modeling study of COVID-19 in the Philippines. Frontiers in Public Health, 13. doi:10.3389/fpubh.2025.1662043
2024
Integrating human behaviour and epidemiological modelling: unlocking the remaining challenges
Hill, E. M., Ryan, M., Haw, D., Lynch, M. P., McCabe, R., Milne, A. E., . . . Bolton, K. J. (2024). Integrating human behaviour and epidemiological modelling: unlocking the remaining challenges. Mathematics in Medical and Life Sciences, 1(1), 2429479. doi:10.1080/29937574.2024.2429479
Promoting healthy populations as a pandemic preparedness strategy: a simulation study from Mexico
Johnson, R., Carnalla, M., Basto-Abreu, A., Haw, D., Morgenstern, C., Doohan, P., . . . Barrientos-Gutiérrez, T. (2024). Promoting healthy populations as a pandemic preparedness strategy: a simulation study from Mexico. Lancet Regional Health Americas, 30. doi:10.1016/j.lana.2024.100682
The interaction of disease transmission, mortality, and economic output over the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Morgenstern, C., Laydon, D. J., Whittaker, C., Mishra, S., Haw, D., Bhatt, S., & Ferguson, N. M. (2024). The interaction of disease transmission, mortality, and economic output over the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic.. PloS one, 19(6), e0301785. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0301785
2023
Optimal Hospital Care Scheduling During the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic
D'Aeth, J. C., Ghosal, S., Grimm, F., Haw, D., Koca, E., Lau, K., . . . Wiesemann, W. (2023). Optimal Hospital Care Scheduling During the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 69(10), 5923-5947. doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.4679
Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics.
Prasad, P. V., Steele, M. K., Reed, C., Meyers, L. A., Du, Z., Pasco, R., . . . Biggerstaff, M. (2023). Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics.. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120(28), e2300590120. doi:10.1073/pnas.2300590120
Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalisation and infection fatality ratios over 23 months in England
Eales, O., Haw, D., Wang, H., Atchison, C., Ashby, D., Cooke, G. S. S., . . . Riley, S. (2023). Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalisation and infection fatality ratios over 23 months in England. PLOS BIOLOGY, 21(5), 21 pages. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3002118
The societal value of SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination in Indonesia
Johnson, R., Djaafara, B., Haw, D., Doohan, P., Forchini, G., Pianella, M., . . . Hauck, K. D. (2023). The societal value of SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination in Indonesia. VACCINE, 41(11), 1885-1891. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.01.068
Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: A modelling analysis
Haw, D. J. J., Biggerstaff, M., Prasad, P., Walker, J., Grenfell, B., & Arinaminpathy, N. (2023). Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: A modelling analysis. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 19(2), 12 pages. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010893
2022
Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies
Haw, D. J., Morgenstern, C., Forchini, G., Johnson, R., Doohan, P., Smith, P. C., & Hauck, K. D. (2022). Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies. EPIDEMICS, 41, 9 pages. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100644
Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS
Haw, D. J., Forchini, G., Doohan, P., Christen, P., Pianella, M., Johnson, R., . . . Hauck, K. D. (2022). Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS. NATURE COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, 2(4), 223-233. doi:10.1038/s43588-022-00233-0
SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine effectiveness in England (REACT-1): a series of cross-sectional random community surveys
Chadeau-Hyam, M., Wang, H., Eales, O., Haw, D., Bodinier, B., Whitaker, M., . . . Elliott, P. (2022). SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine effectiveness in England (REACT-1): a series of cross-sectional random community surveys. LANCET RESPIRATORY MEDICINE, 10(4), 355-366. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00542-7
Rapid increase in Omicron infections in England during December 2021: REACT-1 study
Elliott, P., Bodinier, B., Eales, O., Wang, H., Haw, D., Elliott, J., . . . Donnelly, C. A. (2022). Rapid increase in Omicron infections in England during December 2021: REACT-1 study. SCIENCE, 375(6587), 1406-+. doi:10.1126/science.abn8347
2021
Exponential growth, high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine effectiveness associated with the Delta variant
Elliott, P., Haw, D., Wang, H., Eales, O., Walters, C. E., Ainslie, K. E. C., . . . Riley, S. (2021). Exponential growth, high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine effectiveness associated with the Delta variant. SCIENCE, 374(6574), 1463-+. doi:10.1126/science.abl9551
Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic
D'Aeth, J. C., Ghosal, S., Grimm, F., Haw, D., Koca, E., Lau, K., . . . Miraldo, M. (2021). Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. NATURE COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, 1(8), 521-531. doi:10.1038/s43588-021-00111-1
2020
A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation in two neighborhoods
Haw, D. J., & Hogan, S. J. (2020). A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation in two neighborhoods. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL SOCIOLOGY, 44(4), 221-248. doi:10.1080/0022250X.2019.1695608
Strong spatial embedding of social networks generates nonstandard epidemic dynamics independent of degree distribution and clustering
Haw, D. J., Pung, R., Read, J. M., & Riley, S. (2020). Strong spatial embedding of social networks generates nonstandard epidemic dynamics independent of degree distribution and clustering. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 117(38), 23636-23642. doi:10.1073/pnas.1910181117
The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries
Walker, P. G. T., Whittaker, C., Watson, O. J., Baguelin, M., Winskill, P., Hamlet, A., . . . Ghani, A. C. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries. SCIENCE, 369(6502), 413-+. doi:10.1126/science.abc0035
Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning
Biggerstaff, M., Dahlgren, F. S., Fitzner, J., George, D., Hammond, A., Hall, I., . . . Wu, J. T. (2020). Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning. INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES, 14(2), 105-110. doi:10.1111/irv.12705
2019
Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate
Haw, D. J., Cummings, D. A. T., Lessler, J., Salje, H., Read, J. M., & Riley, S. (2019). Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 15(1), 16 pages. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600
2018
A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation
Haw, D. J., & Hogan, J. (2018). A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL SOCIOLOGY, 42(3), 113-127. doi:10.1080/0022250X.2018.1427091