Professor David Forrest PhD
Professor of Economics Economics
- +44 (0)151 795 0679
- Work email David.Forrest@liverpool.ac.uk
Publications
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2021
Spectator demand for the sport of kings (Journal article)
Buraimo, B., Coster, N., & Forrest, D. (2021). Spectator demand for the sport of kings. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 53(51), 5883-5897. doi:10.1080/00036846.2021.1931010
ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES (Journal article)
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., & Tena, J. D. (2021). ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES. European Journal of Operational Research. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2021.06.046
Transmission of Problem Gambling Between Adjacent Generations (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2021). Transmission of Problem Gambling Between Adjacent Generations. JOURNAL OF GAMBLING STUDIES, 37(2), 711-722. doi:10.1007/s10899-020-09977-8
2020
Does the Offline Environment Matter in Online Horse Race Betting Engagement? (Journal article)
Saastamoinen, J., Suhonen, N., Kainulainen, T., & Forrest, D. (2020). Does the Offline Environment Matter in Online Horse Race Betting Engagement?. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SPORT FINANCE, 15(4), 166-176. doi:10.32731/IJSF.154.112020.02
UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK (Journal article)
Tena Horrillo, J. D. D., Forrest, D., McHale, I., & Buraimo, B. (2020). UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK. Economic Inquiry, 58(2), 881-896. doi:10.1111/ecin.12874
A Study of Adaptive Gambling Behavior of Casino Employees in Macau. (Journal article)
Zeng, Z., Forrest, D., & Kale, S. H. (2020). A Study of Adaptive Gambling Behavior of Casino Employees in Macau.. Journal of gambling studies. doi:10.1007/s10899-020-09934-5
Modelling demand for lotto using a novel method of correcting for endogeneity (Journal article)
Baker, R., Forrest, D., & Perez, L. (2020). Modelling demand for lotto using a novel method of correcting for endogeneity. Economic Modelling, 84, 302-308. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2019.04.021
2019
Using statistics to detect match fixing in sport (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2019). Using statistics to detect match fixing in sport. IMA JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT MATHEMATICS, 30(4), 431-449. doi:10.1093/imaman/dpz008
Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimes (Journal article)
Corona, F., Forrest, D. K., Tena Horrillo, J., & Wiper, M. (2019). Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimes. International Journal of Forecasting, 35(2), 722-732. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.07.009
Sports betting (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2019). Sports betting. In P. Downward, B. Frick, B. Humphreys, T. Pawlowski, J. Ruseski, & B. Soebbing (Eds.), The SAGE Handbook of Sports Economics (pp. 534-543). London: Sage.
2018
Is timing everything in horse betting? Bet amount, timing and bettors' returns in pari-mutuel wagering markets (Journal article)
Suhonen, N., Saastamoinen, J., Kainulainen, T., & Forrest, D. K. (2018). Is timing everything in horse betting? Bet amount, timing and bettors' returns in pari-mutuel wagering markets. Economics Letters, 173, 97-99. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.021
Introduction (Chapter)
Kearns, J. (2015). Introduction. In Unknown Book (pp. 1-+). Retrieved from http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/
Match-Fixing (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2018). Match-Fixing. In The Palgrave Handbook on the Economics of Manipulation in Sport (pp. 91-114). Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-77389-6_6
Reflections (Chapter)
Forrest, D., & Breuer, M. (2018). Reflections. In The Palgrave Handbook on the Economics of Manipulation in Sport (pp. 315-335). Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-77389-6_16
The Palgrave Handbook on the Economics of Manipulation in Sport (Book)
The Palgrave Handbook on the Economics of Manipulation in Sport (2018). . Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-77389-6
New Price, New Hope? An Examination of the Effects of Doubling the Ticket Price in UK Lotto (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Gulley, O. D. (2018). New Price, New Hope? An Examination of the Effects of Doubling the Ticket Price in UK Lotto. JOURNAL OF GAMBLING STUDIES, 34(1), 39-53. doi:10.1007/s10899-017-9689-z
2017
AN ANALYSIS OF COUNTRY MEDAL SHARES IN INDIVIDUAL SPORTS AT THE OLYMPICS (Journal article)
Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2017). An analysis of country medal shares in individual sports at the Olympics. EUROPEAN SPORT MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY, 17(2), 117-131. doi:10.1080/16184742.2016.1248463
Sports corruption and developments in betting markets (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (n.d.). Sports corruption and developments in betting markets. In Unknown Book (pp. 162-182). Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781785364556.00016
2016
The compatriot win effect on national sales of a multicountry lottery (Journal article)
Baker, R., Forrest, D., & Perez, L. (2016). The compatriot win effect on national sales of a multicountry lottery. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 65(4), 603-618. doi:10.1111/rssc.12143
Modelling regional lottery sales: Methodological issues and a case study from Spain (Journal article)
Baker, R., Forrest, D., & Perez, L. (2016). Modelling regional lottery sales: Methodological issues and a case study from Spain. Papers in Regional Science, 95, S127-S142. doi:10.1111/pirs.12118
2015
What is a good result in the first leg of a two-legged football match? (Journal article)
Flores, R., Forrest, D., Pablo, C. D., & Tena Horrillo, J. D. D. (2015). What is a good result in the first leg of a two-legged football match?. European Journal of Operational Research, 247(02), 641-647. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.076
Just like the lottery? Player behaviour and anomalies in the market for football pools. (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Pérez, L. (2015). Just like the lottery? Player behaviour and anomalies in the market for football pools.. Journal of gambling studies, 31(2), 471-482. doi:10.1007/s10899-013-9423-4
Benefits to their communities from small town professional football clubs (Journal article)
Barlow, A., & Forrest, D. (2015). Benefits to their communities from small town professional football clubs. National Institute Economic Review, 232, R18-R29. doi:10.1177/002795011523200103
The Economics of Competitive Sports (Chapter)
Rodríguez, P., Késenne, S., & Koning, R. (2015). The Economics of Competitive Sports. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781783474769
Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport (Chapter)
Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (n.d.). Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport. In Unknown Book (pp. 166-184). Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781783474769.00017
2014
The threat to sports and sports governance from betting-related corruption: Causes and solutions (Chapter)
Forrest, D., & Maennig, W. (2014). The threat to sports and sports governance from betting-related corruption: Causes and solutions. In Routledge Handbook of Political Corruption (pp. 328-346). doi:10.4324/9781315739175-35
Football and betting (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (n.d.). Football and betting. In Unknown Book (pp. 383-400). Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781781003176.00032
Match Fixing: An Economics Perspective (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2013). Match Fixing: An Economics Perspective. In Match-Fixing in International Sports (pp. 177-197). Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-02582-7_10
2013
Happiness and Job Satisfaction in a Casino-Dominated Economy (Journal article)
Zeng, Z., Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2013). Happiness and Job Satisfaction in a Casino-Dominated Economy. Journal of Gambling Studies, 29(3), 471-490. doi:10.1007/s10899-012-9318-9
2012
Gambling and problem gambling among young adolescents in Great Britain. (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). Gambling and problem gambling among young adolescents in Great Britain.. Journal of gambling studies, 28(4), 607-622. doi:10.1007/s10899-011-9277-6
Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences (Journal article)
Flores, R., Forrest, D., & Tena, J. D. (2012). Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences. European Journal of Operational Research, 222(3), 653-662. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2012.03.033
Travel and Population Issues in Modeling Attendance Demand (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2012). Travel and Population Issues in Modeling Attendance Demand. In Unknown Book (pp. 174-189). Oxford University Press. doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780195387780.013.0010
The threat to football from betting-related corruption (Journal article)
Forrest, D. (2012). The threat to football from betting-related corruption. International Journal of Sport Finance, 7(2), 99-116.
Explaining and Forecasting National Team Medals Totals at the Summer Olympic Games (Chapter)
Forrest, D., Ceballos, A., Flores, R., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (n.d.). Explaining and Forecasting National Team Medals Totals at the Summer Olympic Games. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9780857930279.00020
Online gambling: An economics perspective (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2012). Online gambling: An economics perspective. In Routledge International Handbook of Internet Gambling (pp. 29-45). doi:10.4324/9780203814574-10
2011
Subjective Well-being and Engagement in Sport: Evidence from England (Chapter)
Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (n.d.). Subjective Well-being and Engagement in Sport: Evidence from England. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9780857930149.00014
OWN- AND CROSS-PRICE ELASTICITIES FOR GAMES WITHIN A STATE LOTTERY PORTFOLIO (Journal article)
PEREZ, L., & FORREST, D. (2011). OWN- AND CROSS-PRICE ELASTICITIES FOR GAMES WITHIN A STATE LOTTERY PORTFOLIO. Contemporary Economic Policy, 29(4), 536-549. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7287.2010.00234.x
Football pools and lotteries: substitute roads to riches? (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Pérez, L. (2011). Football pools and lotteries: substitute roads to riches?. Applied Economics Letters, 18(13), 1253-1257. doi:10.1080/13504851.2010.532100
Impact of importing foreign talent on performance levels of local co-workers (Journal article)
Alvarez, J., Forrest, D., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2011). Impact of importing foreign talent on performance levels of local co-workers. Labour Economics, 18(3), 287-296. doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2010.11.003
2010
Impact on Competitive Balance from Allowing Foreign Players in a Sports League: Evidence from European Soccer (Journal article)
Flores, R., Forrest, D., & Tena, J. D. (2010). Impact on Competitive Balance from Allowing Foreign Players in a Sports League: Evidence from European Soccer. Kyklos, 63(4), 546-557. doi:10.1111/j.1467-6435.2010.00487.x
Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2010). Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games. International Journal of Forecasting, 26(3), 576-588. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.12.007
The 12th man?: refereeing bias in English and German soccer (Journal article)
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2010). The 12th man?: refereeing bias in English and German soccer. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, 173, 431-449. doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00604.x
Broadcasting, attendance and the inefficiency of Cartels (Chapter)
Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Szymanski, S. (2010). Broadcasting, attendance and the inefficiency of Cartels. In Football Economics and Policy (pp. 112-135). doi:10.1057/9780230274266_05
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BETTING AND LOTTERY PLAY (Journal article)
FORREST, D., GULLEY, O. D., & SIMMONS, R. (2010). THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BETTING AND LOTTERY PLAY. Economic Inquiry, 48(1), 26-38. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00123.x
2009
Insights for clubs from modelling match attendance in football (Journal article)
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2009). Insights for clubs from modelling match attendance in football. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 60(2), 147-155. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602549
2008
Gambling Policy in the European Union: Too Many Losers? (Journal article)
Forrest, D. (2008). Gambling Policy in the European Union: Too Many Losers?. FinanzArchiv, 64(4), 540. doi:10.1628/001522108x397714
Soccer Betting in Britain (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2008). Soccer Betting in Britain. In Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets (pp. 421-446). Elsevier. doi:10.1016/b978-044450744-0.50023-8
Say it ain't so": Betting- Related malpractice in sport (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Mchale, I., & Mcauley, K. (2008). Say it ain't so": Betting- Related malpractice in sport. International Journal of Sport Finance, 3(3), 156-166.
Gaming in the New Market Environment (Chapter)
Gaming in the New Market Environment (2008). Palgrave Macmillan UK. doi:10.1057/9780230582613
Consumer Interests and the Regulation and Taxation of Gambling (Chapter)
Consumer Interests and the Regulation and Taxation of Gambling (2008). In Economic Aspects of Gambling Regulation: EU and US Perspectives (pp. 103-117). Brill | Nijhoff. doi:10.1163/ej.9789004165595.i-208.41
Economic Aspects of Gambling Regulation: EU and US Perspectives (Chapter)
Economic Aspects of Gambling Regulation: EU and US Perspectives (2008). Brill | Nijhoff. doi:10.1163/ej.9789004165595.i-208
Effect of toss and weather on County Cricket Championship outcomes. (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Dorsey, R. (2008). Effect of toss and weather on County Cricket Championship outcomes.. Journal of sports sciences, 26(1), 3-13. doi:10.1080/02640410701287271
Measuring displacement effects across gaming products: a study of Australian gambling markets (Journal article)
Farrell, L., & Forrest, D. (2008). Measuring displacement effects across gaming products: a study of Australian gambling markets. Applied Economics, 40(1), 53-62. doi:10.1080/00036840701591379
Sentiment in the betting market on Spanish football (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2008). Sentiment in the betting market on Spanish football. Applied Economics, 40(1), 119-126. doi:10.1080/00036840701522895
2007
Anyone for Tennis (Betting)? (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Mchale, I. (2007). Anyone for Tennis (Betting)?. The European Journal of Finance, 13(8), 751-768. doi:10.1080/13518470701705736
Within-season dismissal of football coaches: Statistical analysis of causes and consequences (Journal article)
de Dios Tena, J., & Forrest, D. (2007). Within-season dismissal of football coaches: Statistical analysis of causes and consequences. European Journal of Operational Research, 181(1), 362-373. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2006.05.024
Freedom of entry, market size, and competitive outcome: Evidence from English soccer (Journal article)
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2007). Freedom of entry, market size, and competitive outcome: Evidence from English soccer. SOUTHERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 74(1), 204-213. doi:10.2307/20111960
Distribution of UK National Lottery grants across local authority areas (Journal article)
Feehan, P., & Forrest, D. (2007). Distribution of UK National Lottery grants across local authority areas. Applied Economics Letters, 14(5), 361-365. doi:10.1080/13504850500426327
Outcome uncertainty measures: How closely do they predict a close game? (Chapter)
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2007). Outcome uncertainty measures: How closely do they predict a close game?. In Statistical Thinking in Sports (pp. 167-178).
2006
Sport and Gambling (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (n.d.). Sport and Gambling. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781847204073.00010
Read all about it? (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2006). Read all about it?. Significance, 3(1), 20-21. doi:10.1111/j.1740-9713.2006.00146.x
New Issues in Attendance Demand (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2006). New Issues in Attendance Demand. Journal of Sports Economics, 7(3), 247-266. doi:10.1177/1527002504273392
2005
Efficiency of the odds on English professional football matches (Chapter)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2005). Efficiency of the odds on English professional football matches. In Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets (pp. 330-338). Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/cbo9780511493614.016
Longshot bias: insights from the betting market on men's professional tennis (Chapter)
Forrest, D., & McHale, I. (2005). Longshot bias: insights from the betting market on men's professional tennis. In Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets (pp. 215-230). Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/cbo9780511493614.009
Outcome uncertainty and the couch potato audience (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Buraimo, B. (2005). Outcome uncertainty and the couch potato audience. SCOTTISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 52(4), 641-661. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9485.2005.00360.x
Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Goddard, J., & Simmons, R. (2005). Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football. International Journal of Forecasting, 21(3), 551-564. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2005.03.003
Home advantage and the debate about competitive balance in professional sports leagues. (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Beaumont, J., Goddard, J., & Simmons, R. (2005). Home advantage and the debate about competitive balance in professional sports leagues.. Journal of sports sciences, 23(4), 439-445. doi:10.1080/02640410400021641
Efficiency in the handicap and index betting markets for English rugby league (Chapter)
Simmons, R., Forrest, D., & Curran, A. (2005). Efficiency in the handicap and index betting markets for English rugby league. In The Economics of Gambling (pp. 114-134). doi:10.4324/9780203986936-17
The importance of recent scores in a forecasting model for professional golf tournaments (Journal article)
McHale, I., & Forrest, D. (2005). The importance of recent scores in a forecasting model for professional golf tournaments. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 16(2), 131-140. doi:10.1093/imaman/dpi005
Time-series modelling of Lotto demand (Chapter)
Forrest, D. (2005). Time-series modelling of Lotto demand. In The Economics of Gambling (pp. 182-203). doi:10.4324/9780203986936-21
2004
Broadcasting, Attendance and the Inefficiency of Cartels (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Szymanski, S. (2004). Broadcasting, Attendance and the Inefficiency of Cartels. Review of Industrial Organization, 24(3), 243-265. doi:10.1023/b:reio.0000038274.05704.99
Substitution between games in the UK national lottery (Journal article)
Forrest, D., David Gulley, O., & Simmons, R. (2004). Substitution between games in the UK national lottery. Applied Economics, 36(7), 645-651. doi:10.1080/0003684042000222034
2003
Sport and Gambling (Journal article)
Forrest, D. (2003). Sport and Gambling. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 19(4), 598-611. doi:10.1093/oxrep/19.4.598
2002
Outcome uncertainty and attendance demand in sport: the case of English soccer (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2002). Outcome uncertainty and attendance demand in sport: the case of English soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 51(2), 229-241. doi:10.1111/1467-9884.00314
A Spatial Cross-Sectional Analysis of Elasticity of Demand for Soccer (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Feehan, P. (2002). A Spatial Cross-Sectional Analysis of Elasticity of Demand for Soccer. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 49(3), 336-356. doi:10.1111/1467-9485.00235
Buying a Dream: Alternative Models of Demand for Lotto (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Simmons, R., & Chesters, N. (2002). Buying a Dream: Alternative Models of Demand for Lotto. Economic Inquiry, 40(3), 485-496. doi:10.1093/ei/40.3.485
2000
Elasticity of Demand for UK National Lottery Tickets (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Gulley, O. D., & Simmons, R. (2000). Elasticity of Demand for UK National Lottery Tickets. National Tax Journal, 53(4.1), 853-863. doi:10.17310/ntj.2000.4.04
Is it worth subsidising regional repertory theatre? (Journal article)
Forrest, D. (2000). Is it worth subsidising regional repertory theatre?. Oxford Economic Papers, 52(2), 381-397. doi:10.1093/oep/52.2.381
Testing for rational expectations in the UK National Lottery (Journal article)
Forrest, D., David Gulley, O., & Simmons, R. (2000). Testing for rational expectations in the UK National Lottery. Applied Economics, 32(3), 315-326. doi:10.1080/000368400322741
Focus on Sport: Making up the Results: the Work of the Football Pools Panel, 1963-1997 (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2000). Focus on Sport: Making up the Results: the Work of the Football Pools Panel, 1963-1997. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 49(2), 253-260. doi:10.1111/1467-9884.00235
Forecasting sport: the behaviour and performance of football tipsters (Journal article)
Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (2000). Forecasting sport: the behaviour and performance of football tipsters. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(3), 317-331. doi:10.1016/s0169-2070(00)00050-9
1999
The Labour Market in Association Football: Who Gets Transferred and for How Much? (Journal article)
Carmichael, F., Forrest, D., & Simmons, R. (1999). The Labour Market in Association Football: Who Gets Transferred and for How Much?. Bulletin of Economic Research, 51(2), 125-150. doi:10.1111/1467-8586.00075
(Journal article)
Forrest, D. (1999). Unknown Title. Journal of Gambling Studies, 15(2), 161-176. doi:10.1023/a:1022286309127
1996
The impact of a light rail system on the structure of house prices: A hedonic longitudinal study (Journal article)
Forrest, D., Glen, J., & Ward, R. (1996). The impact of a light rail system on the structure of house prices: A hedonic longitudinal study. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 30(1), 15-29.
1991
An Analysis of House Price Differentials between English Regions (Journal article)
Forrest, D. (1991). An Analysis of House Price Differentials between English Regions. Regional Studies, 25(3), 231-238. doi:10.1080/00343409112331346447