2023
Optimal Hospital Care Scheduling During the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic (Journal article)
D'Aeth, J. C., Ghosal, S., Grimm, F., Haw, D., Koca, E., Lau, K., . . . Wiesemann, W. (2023). Optimal Hospital Care Scheduling During the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE. doi:10.1287/mnsc.2023.4679DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2023.4679
Prasad, P. V., Steele, M. K., Reed, C., Meyers, L. A., Du, Z., Pasco, R., . . . Biggerstaff, M. (2023). Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics.. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120(28), e2300590120. doi:10.1073/pnas.2300590120DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2300590120
Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalisation and infection fatality ratios over 23 months in England (Journal article)
Eales, O., Haw, D., Wang, H., Atchison, C., Ashby, D., Cooke, G. S. S., . . . Riley, S. (2023). Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalisation and infection fatality ratios over 23 months in England. PLOS BIOLOGY, 21(5). doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3002118DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3002118
Johnson, R., Djaafara, B., Haw, D., Doohan, P., Forchini, G., Pianella, M., . . . Hauck, K. D. (2023). The societal value of SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination in Indonesia.. Vaccine, 41(11), 1885-1891. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.01.068DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.01.068
Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: A modelling analysis (Journal article)
Haw, D. J. J., Biggerstaff, M., Prasad, P., Walker, J., Grenfell, B., & Arinaminpathy, N. (2023). Using real-time data to guide decision-making during an influenza pandemic: A modelling analysis. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 19(2). doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010893DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010893
2022
Haw, D. J., Morgenstern, C., Forchini, G., Johnson, R., Doohan, P., Smith, P. C., & Hauck, K. D. (2022). Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies.. Epidemics, 41, 100644. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100644DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100644
The interaction of transmission intensity, mortality, and the economy: a retrospective analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic (Preprint)
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2225159/v1
Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS (Journal article)
Haw, D. J., Forchini, G., Doohan, P., Christen, P., Pianella, M., Johnson, R., . . . Hauck, K. D. (2022). Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS. NATURE COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, 2(4), 223-233. doi:10.1038/s43588-022-00233-0DOI: 10.1038/s43588-022-00233-0
SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine effectiveness in England (REACT-1): a series of cross-sectional random community surveys (Journal article)
Chadeau-Hyam, M., Wang, H., Eales, O., Haw, D., Bodinier, B., Whitaker, M., . . . Elliott, P. (2022). SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine effectiveness in England (REACT-1): a series of cross-sectional random community surveys. LANCET RESPIRATORY MEDICINE, 10(4), 355-366. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00542-7DOI: 10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00542-7
Rapid increase in Omicron infections in England during December 2021: REACT-1 study (Journal article)
Elliott, P., Bodinier, B., Eales, O., Wang, H., Haw, D., Elliott, J., . . . Donnelly, C. A. (2022). Rapid increase in Omicron infections in England during December 2021: REACT-1 study. SCIENCE, 375(6587), 1406-+. doi:10.1126/science.abn8347DOI: 10.1126/science.abn8347
2021
Elliott, P., Haw, D., Wang, H., Eales, O., Walters, C. E., Ainslie, K. E. C., . . . Riley, S. (2021). Exponential growth, high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine effectiveness associated with the Delta variant. SCIENCE, 374(6574), 1463-+. doi:10.1126/science.abl9551DOI: 10.1126/science.abl9551
SARS-CoV-2 lineage dynamics in England from September to November 2021: high diversity of Delta sub-lineages and increased transmissibility of AY.4.2 (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.12.17.21267925
REACT-1 round 15 final report: Increased breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections among adults who had received two doses of vaccine, but booster doses and first doses in children are providing important protection (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.12.14.21267806
Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (Journal article)
D'Aeth, J. C., Ghosal, S., Grimm, F., Haw, D., Koca, E., Lau, K., . . . Miraldo, M. (2021). Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. NATURE COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, 1(8), 521-531. doi:10.1038/s43588-021-00111-1DOI: 10.1038/s43588-021-00111-1
REACT-1 round 13 interim report: acceleration of SARS-CoV-2 Delta epidemic in the community in England during late June and early July 2021 (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.07.08.21260185
REACT-1 round 12 report: resurgence of SARS-CoV-2 infections in England associated with increased frequency of the Delta variant (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.06.17.21259103
REACT-1 round 11 report: low prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the community prior to the third step of the English roadmap out of lockdown (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.05.13.21257144
REACT-1 round 10 report: Level prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 swab-positivity in England during third national lockdown in March 2021 (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.04.08.21255100
REACT-1 round 9 final report: Continued but slowing decline of prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 during national lockdown in England in February 2021 (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.03.03.21252856
REACT-1 round 9 interim report: downward trend of SARS-CoV-2 in England in February 2021 but still at high prevalence (Preprint)
DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.18.21251973
2020
A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation in two neighborhoods (Journal article)
Haw, D. J., & Hogan, S. J. (2020). A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation in two neighborhoods. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL SOCIOLOGY, 44(4), 221-248. doi:10.1080/0022250X.2019.1695608DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2019.1695608
Strong spatial embedding of social networks generates nonstandard epidemic dynamics independent of degree distribution and clustering (Journal article)
Haw, D. J., Pung, R., Read, J. M., & Riley, S. (2020). Strong spatial embedding of social networks generates nonstandard epidemic dynamics independent of degree distribution and clustering. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 117(38), 23636-23642. doi:10.1073/pnas.1910181117DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1910181117
The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries (Journal article)
Walker, P. G. T., Whittaker, C., Watson, O. J., Baguelin, M., Winskill, P., Hamlet, A., . . . Ghani, A. C. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries. SCIENCE, 369(6502), 413-+. doi:10.1126/science.abc0035DOI: 10.1126/science.abc0035
Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning (Journal article)
Biggerstaff, M., Dahlgren, F. S., Fitzner, J., George, D., Hammond, A., Hall, I., . . . Wu, J. T. (2020). Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning. INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES, 14(2), 105-110. doi:10.1111/irv.12705DOI: 10.1111/irv.12705
2019
Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate (Journal article)
Haw, D. J., Cummings, D. A. T., Lessler, J., Salje, H., Read, J. M., & Riley, S. (2019). Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 15(1). doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600
2018
A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation (Journal article)
Haw, D. J., & Hogan, J. (2018). A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL SOCIOLOGY, 42(3), 113-127. doi:10.1080/0022250X.2018.1427091DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2018.1427091
2017