Photo of Professor Scott Ferson

Professor Scott Ferson PhD

Chair in Risk and Uncertainty Civil and Environmental Engineering

Research

Uncertainty methods

Probability bounds analysis
Robust Bayes and quick Bayes
Distribution-free methods for risk analysis,
Assured or automatically verified calculations
Dependency modeling
Validation metrics and pseudo-metrics
Protecting privacy of patients, clients, and consumers during data releases
Backcalculation strategies and engineering design

Communication of risk and uncertainty

The natural language of uncertainty
Biological underpinnings of ambiguity and loss aversion and other paradoxes in decision theory
Natural frequencies and the equivalent bionomial count
Uncertainty penalties in expert elicitation
Visualization of uncertainties

Foundations of measurement and inference

Statistics when data sets include intervals or nonnegligible epistemic uncertainty
Inference in the noninformative case without untenable assumptions
Measurement uncertainty and conventions for its propagation
Unification of Bayesian and frequentist approaches
Basal uncertainties in measurement processes
Foundations of statistics

Research Grants

Informed mining: risk reduction through enhanced public and institutional risk awareness (IM AWARE)

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, ENGINEERING & PHYSICAL SCIENCES RESEARCH COUNCIL

November 2019 - March 2023

Development of Advanced Wings Solutions (DAWS)

INNOVATE UK (UK)

August 2020 - October 2023

To map and evaluate the socio-economic methodologies and decision support tools used in risk management agencies

FOOD STANDARDS AGENCY (UK)

October 2016 - September 2021

Living and Future Tools for Risk Assessment: An Examination of the Possibilities for Fusion

HEALTH AND SAFETY EXECUTIVE (UK)

October 2016 - September 2021

Digital twins for improved dynamic design

ENGINEERING & PHYSICAL SCIENCES RESEARCH COUNCIL

February 2018 - September 2023

Rapid Screening Mass Spectometry for Detection of Marine Toxins in Aquatic Food Sources

Q-TECHNOLOGIES LTD (UK)

September 2016 - September 2020

Additive Manufacturing Process Monitoring - Risk/AM CDT

RENISHAW PLC (UK)

October 2017 - October 2021

Additive Manufacturing Process Monitoring - Risk CDT studentship

RENISHAW PLC (UK)

October 2017 - September 2021

Understanding the risks associated with the design and construction of large particle accelerators

SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FACILITIES COUNCIL

October 2017 - September 2021

Uncertainty Quantification in Fusion Power Plant Design

CULHAM CENTRE FOR FUSION ENERGY (UK)

October 2018 - October 2022

CDT Student Programme

3D LIFEPRINTS UK LTD (UK)

September 2016 - August 2019

Enhancing and implementing Knowledge based ICT solutions within high Risk and Uncertain Conditions for Agriculture Production Systems - RUCAPS

EUROPEAN COMMISSION

October 2016 - April 2022

Realistic model prediction for managing risk in nuclear decommissioning Generating realistic synthetic plant data for future scenario analysis CDT

NATIONAL NUCLEAR LABORATORY LTD (UK)

October 2017 - September 2021