Research outputs
Selected research outputs
- Modeling the Greenland Ice Sheet's Committed Contribution to Sea Level During the 21st Century (Journal article - 2023)
- Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica (Journal article - 2019)
- Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability. (Journal article - 2019)
- Contrasting the modelled sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Embayment ice streams (Journal article - 2016)
2026
Modelling the advance and retreat of major Greenlandic tidewater glacier over the last 1000 years reveals high sensitivity to calving front forcing criteria
Jones, D., Mair, D., Nias, I., Lea, J., & Morlighem, M. (2026). Modelling the advance and retreat of major Greenlandic tidewater glacier over the last 1000 years reveals high sensitivity to calving front forcing criteria. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3545
Snowpack thermal regime controls ice layer permeability
Shiggins, C., Mair, D. W. F., Ashmore, D. W., Brown, G. L., Nias, I., & Lea, J. (2026). Snowpack thermal regime controls ice layer permeability. JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY, 72. doi:10.1017/jog.2026.10143
2025
Detection of 85 new active subglacial lakes in Antarctica from a decade of CryoSat-2 data
Wilson, S. F., Hogg, A. E., Rigby, R., Gourmelen, N., Nias, I., & Slater, T. (2025). Detection of 85 new active subglacial lakes in Antarctica from a decade of CryoSat-2 data. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 16(1). doi:10.1038/s41467-025-63773-9
Modelling the evolution of near-surface ice layers and their impact on runoff generation processes across a High Arctic Ice Cap
Laha, S., Mair, D. W. F., Burgess, D., Danielson, B., Lea, J., Nias, I., & Shiggins, C. (2025). Modelling the evolution of near-surface ice layers and their impact on runoff generation processes across a High Arctic Ice Cap. JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY, 71. doi:10.1017/jog.2025.10111
Modelling calving over the last 1000 years of a Greenlandic tidewater glacier during advance and retreat
Jones, D., Mair, D., Nias, I., Lea, J., & Morlinghem, M. (2025). Modelling calving over the last 1000 years of a Greenlandic tidewater glacier during advance and retreat. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17684
A framework for observing and modelling ice-ocean interactions building on a community workshop organised by the Joint Commission on Ice-Ocean Interactions
Nias, I., McCormack, F., Cook, S., Adusumilli, S., An, L., Goldberg, D., . . . Slater, D. (2025). A framework for observing and modelling ice-ocean interactions building on a community workshop organised by the Joint Commission on Ice-Ocean Interactions. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1569
Cold-laboratory experiments to observe meltwater and ice layer interactions in snowpacks
Shiggins, C., Mair, D., Lea, J., & Nias, I. (2025). Cold-laboratory experiments to observe meltwater and ice layer interactions in snowpacks. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7278
New Active Antarctic Subglacial Lakes using 10 years of CryoSat-2 Altimetry
Wilson, S., Hogg, A., Rigby, R., Slater, T., & Nias, I. (2025). New Active Antarctic Subglacial Lakes using 10 years of CryoSat-2 Altimetry. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8950
2024
The case for a Framework for UnderStanding Ice-Ocean iNteractions (FUSION) in the Antarctic-Southern Ocean system
McCormack, F. S., Cook, S., Goldberg, D. N., Nakayama, Y., Seroussi, H., Nias, I., . . . Hattermann, T. (2024). The case for a Framework for UnderStanding Ice-Ocean iNteractions (FUSION) in the Antarctic-Southern Ocean system. ELEMENTA-SCIENCE OF THE ANTHROPOCENE, 12(1). doi:10.1525/elementa.2024.00036
2023
A Changing Antarctica: How Computer Models Help Scientists Look Into the Future
Nowicki, S., Felikson, D., & Nias, I. (2023). A Changing Antarctica: How Computer Models Help Scientists Look Into the Future. Frontiers for Young Minds, 11. doi:10.3389/frym.2023.1114876
Choice of observation type affects Bayesian calibration of Greenland Ice Sheet model simulations
Felikson, D., Nowicki, S., Nias, I., Csatho, B., Schenk, A., Croteau, M. J., & Loomis, B. (2023). Choice of observation type affects Bayesian calibration of Greenland Ice Sheet model simulations. CRYOSPHERE, 17(11), 4661-4673. doi:10.5194/tc-17-4661-2023
Modeling the Greenland Ice Sheet's Committed Contribution to Sea Level During the 21st Century
Nias, I. J., Nowicki, S., Felikson, D., & Loomis, B. (2023). Modeling the Greenland Ice Sheet's Committed Contribution to Sea Level During the 21st Century. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE, 128(2). doi:10.1029/2022JF006914
2022
The Transient Sea Level Response to External Forcing in CMIP6 Models
Grinsted, A., Bamber, J., Bingham, R., Buzzard, S., Nias, I., Ng, K., & Weeks, J. (2022). The Transient Sea Level Response to External Forcing in CMIP6 Models. EARTHS FUTURE, 10(10). doi:10.1029/2022EF002696
The Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon
Mitchell, D. M., Stone, E. J., Andrews, O. D., Bamber, J. L., Bingham, R. J., Browse, J., . . . Tunnicliffe, R. (2022). The Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon. Weather, 77(6), 218-221. doi:10.1002/wea.4161
Seasonal Tidewater Glacier Terminus Oscillations Bias Multi-Decadal Projections of Ice Mass Change
Felikson, D., Nowicki, S., Nias, I., Morlighem, M., & Seroussi, H. (2022). Seasonal Tidewater Glacier Terminus Oscillations Bias Multi-Decadal Projections of Ice Mass Change. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE, 127(2). doi:10.1029/2021JF006249
Proper orthogonal decomposition of ice velocity identifies drivers of flow variability at Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn IsbrÆ)
Ashmore, D. W., Mair, D. W. F., Higham, J. E., Brough, S., Lea, J. M., & Nias, I. J. (2022). Proper orthogonal decomposition of ice velocity identifies drivers of flow variability at Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn IsbrÆ). CRYOSPHERE, 16(1), 219-236. doi:10.5194/tc-16-219-2022
2021
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Payne, A. J., Nowicki, S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Albrecht, T., . . . Zwinger, T. (2021). Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 48(16). doi:10.1029/2020GL091741
Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise
Edwards, T. L., Nowicki, S., Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., . . . Zwinger, T. (2021). Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise. Nature, 593, 74-82. doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y
Seasonal tidewater glacier terminus oscillations bias multi-decadal projections of ice mass change
Recent retreat of Greenland's marine terminating glaciers has a lasting impact on velocity and mass loss during the 21st Century
Nias, I., Nowicki, S., & Felikson, D. (2021). Recent retreat of Greenland's marine terminating glaciers has a lasting impact on velocity and mass loss during the 21st Century. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9908
Eigen-glaciers: elucidating hidden features in the flow of Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn Glacier), Greenland.
Ashmore, D., Mair, D., Higham, J., Brough, S., Lea, J., & Nias, I. (2021). Eigen-glaciers: elucidating hidden features in the flow of Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn Glacier), Greenland.. doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-5151
2020
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6
Goelzer, H., Nowicki, S., Payne, A., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Lipscomb, W. H., . . . van den Broeke, M. (2020). The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6. CRYOSPHERE, 14(9), 3071-3096. doi:10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020
Understanding of Contemporary Regional Sea‐level Change and the Implications for the Future
Hamlington, B. D., Gardner, A. S., Ivins, E., Lenaerts, J. T. M., Reager, J. T., Trossman, D. S., . . . Willis, M. J. (2020). Understanding of Contemporary Regional Sea-Level Change and the Implications for the Future. REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 58(3). doi:10.1029/2019RG000672
Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models
Nowicki, S., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Payne, A. J., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., . . . van de Wal, R. (2020). Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models. The Cryosphere, 14(7), 2331-2368. doi:10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020
Spatial probabilistic calibration of a high-resolution Amundsen Sea Embayment ice sheet model with satellite altimeter data
Wernecke, A., Edwards, T. L., Nias, I., Holden, P. B., & Edwards, N. R. (2020). Spatial probabilistic calibration of a high-resolution Amundsen Sea Embayment ice sheet model with satellite altimeter data. CRYOSPHERE, 14(5), 1459-1474. doi:10.5194/tc-14-1459-2020
Ocean-forced evolution of the Amundsen Sea catchment, West Antarctica, by 2100
Alevropoulos-Borrill, A. V., Nias, I. J., Payne, A. J., Golledge, N. R., & Bingham, R. J. (2020). Ocean-forced evolution of the Amundsen Sea catchment, West Antarctica, by 2100. CRYOSPHERE, 14(4), 1245-1258. doi:10.5194/tc-14-1245-2020
Experimental protocol for sealevel projections from ISMIP6 standalone ice sheet models
The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6
2019
Ocean forced evolution of the Amundsen Sea catchment, West Antarctica, by 2100
Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica
Nias, I. J., Cornford, S. L., Edwards, T. L., Gourmelen, N., & Payne, A. J. (2019). Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 46(20), 11253-11260. doi:10.1029/2019GL084941
Spatial probabilistic calibration of a high-resolution Amundsen Sea Embayment ice-sheet model with satellite altimeter data
Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability.
Edwards, T. L., Brandon, M. A., Durand, G., Edwards, N. R., Golledge, N. R., Holden, P. B., . . . Wernecke, A. (2019). Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability.. Nature, 566, 58-64. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-0901-4
Contrasting Hydrological Controls on Bed Properties During the Acceleration of Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica
Bougamont, M., Christoffersen, P., Nias, I., Vaughan, D. G., Smith, A. M., & Brisbourne, A. (2019). Contrasting Hydrological Controls on Bed Properties During the Acceleration of Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE, 124(1), 80-96. doi:10.1029/2018JF004707
2018
New Mass-Conserving Bedrock Topography for Pine Island Glacier Impacts Simulated Decadal Rates of Mass Loss
Nias, I. J., Cornford, S. L., & Payne, A. J. (2018). New Mass-Conserving Bedrock Topography for Pine Island Glacier Impacts Simulated Decadal Rates of Mass Loss. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 45(7), 3173-3181. doi:10.1002/2017GL076493
2017
Bed conditions of Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica
Brisbourne, A. M., Smith, A. M., Vaughan, D. G., King, E. C., Davies, D., Bingham, R. G., . . . Rosier, S. H. R. (2017). Bed conditions of Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 122(1), 419-433. doi:10.1002/2016jf004033
2016
Contrasting the modelled sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Embayment ice streams
Nias, I. J., Cornford, S. L., & Payne, A. J. (2016). Contrasting the modelled sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Embayment ice streams. Journal of Glaciology, 62(233), 552-562. doi:10.1017/jog.2016.40
2012
Microbial nitrogen cycling on the Greenland Ice Sheet
Telling, J., Stibal, M., Anesio, A. M., Tranter, M., Nias, I., Cook, J., . . . Hodson, A. (2012). Microbial nitrogen cycling on the Greenland Ice Sheet. BIOGEOSCIENCES, 9(7), 2431-2442. doi:10.5194/bg-9-2431-2012