Soeren Metelmann


Title: Development of climate-driven models for mosquito-borne disease risk in the UK

Climate change is a health risk for the UK and Europe as its effects will include impacts on the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases. One species that certainly is affected is the Asian tiger mosquito; Aedes albopictus. It is a competent vector for the transmission of many blood-borne epidemics such as dengue or chikungunya fever and West Nile virus infections.

In my PhD, I am using a range of mathematical models to analyse the mosquito's climatic suitability, its potential spread, as well as the risk zones for disease transmission. These models are driven by gridded climate data sets to observe how climate influences vector and disease ecology in space and time.